Sunday 15 January 2017, 21:45
Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán
Full time
33%
23%
44%
Home win
32.9%
Draw
22.6%
Away win
44.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | 32.9% | 3.03 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.6% | 4.43 | — | — |
| Real Madrid | 44.5% | 2.25 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.9% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.1% | 32.23 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 88.5% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 11.5% | 8.67 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 29.3% | 3.41 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 49.6% | 2.01 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 50.4% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 30.4% | 3.29 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| No | 29.4% | 3.40 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla / Draw | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Sevilla / Real Madrid | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Madrid | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.1
|
4.6
|
5.0
|
3.3
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
| 1 |
3.8
|
9.1
|
8.5
|
5.6
|
2.7
|
1.1
|
| 2 |
3.7
|
7.2
|
7.1
|
4.7
|
2.3
|
0.9
|
| 3 |
2.1
|
4.1
|
4.0
|
2.6
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
1.7
|
1.7
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Sevilla
0-1
Real Madrid
Dec 2025
Real Madrid
2-0
Sevilla
May 2025
Sevilla
0-2
Real Madrid
Dec 2024
Real Madrid
4-2
Sevilla
Feb 2024
Real Madrid
1-0
Sevilla
Oct 2023
Sevilla
1-1
Real Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.