Saturday 10 December 2016, 21:45
Santiago Bernabéu
Full time
83%
11%
6%
Home win
82.6%
Draw
11.5%
Away win
5.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Draw | 11.5% | 8.72 | — | — |
| Deportivo La Coruna | 5.9% | 16.94 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.8% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.2% | 44.64 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 9.3% | 10.72 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 24.7% | 4.04 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 55.4% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 35.9% | 2.79 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| No | 47.1% | 2.12 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid / Draw | 94.1% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Real Madrid / Deportivo La Coruna | 88.5% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Draw / Deportivo La Coruna | 17.4% | 5.76 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.2
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
5.8
|
5.2
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
9.6
|
7.7
|
3.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.1
|
8.0
|
3.2
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.9
|
6.3
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
5.0
|
4.0
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2018
Real Madrid
7-1
Deportivo La Coruna
Aug 2017
Deportivo La Coruna
0-3
Real Madrid
Apr 2017
Deportivo La Coruna
2-6
Real Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.