Saturday 3 December 2016, 17:15
Camp Nou
Full time
32%
23%
45%
Home win
32.4%
Draw
22.8%
Away win
44.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 32.4% | 3.09 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.8% | 4.39 | — | — |
| Real Madrid | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.7% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.3% | 30.39 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.9% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.1% | 8.24 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 30.5% | 3.28 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 29.2% | 3.43 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 69.7% | 1.44 | — | — |
| No | 30.3% | 3.30 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona / Draw | 55.1% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Barcelona / Real Madrid | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Madrid | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.3
|
4.9
|
5.2
|
3.4
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
| 1 |
4.0
|
9.4
|
8.6
|
5.6
|
2.7
|
1.1
|
| 2 |
3.7
|
7.2
|
7.1
|
4.6
|
2.2
|
0.9
|
| 3 |
2.0
|
4.0
|
3.9
|
2.5
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
1.6
|
1.6
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Barcelona
2-0
Real Madrid
Oct 2025
Real Madrid
2-1
Barcelona
May 2025
Barcelona
4-3
Real Madrid
Oct 2024
Real Madrid
0-4
Barcelona
Apr 2024
Real Madrid
3-2
Barcelona
Oct 2023
Barcelona
1-2
Real Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.