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Saturday 29 October 2016, 21:45 Camp Nou Full time
93% 5% 3%
Home win
92.6%
Draw
4.8%
Away win
2.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Barcelona 92.6% 1.08
Draw 4.8% 21.05
Granada CF 2.7% 37.51

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 99.7% 1.00
Under 0.5 0.3% 338.98
Over 1.5 98.5% 1.02
Under 1.5 1.5% 66.49
Over 2.5 94.3% 1.06
Under 2.5 5.7% 17.44
Over 3.5 85.8% 1.17
Under 3.5 14.2% 7.03
Over 4.5 72.8% 1.37
Under 4.5 27.2% 3.67

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 66.2% 1.51
No 33.8% 2.96

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Barcelona / Draw 97.3% 1.03
Barcelona / Granada CF 95.3% 1.05
Draw / Granada CF 7.4% 13.48

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
1
1.0
1.3
0.7
0.2
0.1
0.0
2
2.8
3.1
1.7
0.6
0.2
0.0
3
4.7
5.1
2.8
1.0
0.3
0.1
4
5.9
6.5
3.6
1.3
0.4
0.1
5
5.9
6.5
3.6
1.3
0.4
0.1
Rows: Barcelona goals. Columns: Granada CF goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.