Saturday 15 October 2016, 19:30
Vicente Calderón
Full time
89%
8%
3%
Home win
89.0%
Draw
7.9%
Away win
3.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 89.0% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Draw | 7.9% | 12.67 | — | — |
| Granada CF | 3.1% | 32.32 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98.3% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 1.7% | 57.31 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 92.2% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 7.8% | 12.89 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 21.4% | 4.68 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 40.0% | 2.50 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.7% | 2.19 | — | — |
| No | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid / Draw | 96.9% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid / Granada CF | 92.1% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Draw / Granada CF | 11.0% | 9.10 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
1.7
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
5.2
|
3.7
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
9.7
|
6.1
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.4
|
7.2
|
2.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
10.1
|
6.4
|
2.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
7.2
|
4.5
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2024
Granada CF
0-1
Atletico Madrid
Aug 2023
Atletico Madrid
3-1
Granada CF
Apr 2022
Atletico Madrid
0-0
Granada CF
Dec 2021
Granada CF
2-1
Atletico Madrid
Feb 2021
Granada CF
1-2
Atletico Madrid
Sep 2020
Atletico Madrid
6-1
Granada CF
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.