Saturday 17 September 2016, 17:15
Vicente Calderón
Full time
22%
12%
66%
Home win
21.6%
Draw
11.9%
Away win
66.4%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 21.6% | 4.62 | — | — |
| Draw | 11.9% | 8.39 | — | — |
| Sporting Gijon | 66.4% | 1.50 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100.0% | 1.00 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 0.0% | 2,272.73 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 99.8% | 1.00 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 0.2% | 543.48 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 99.0% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 1.0% | 101.42 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 96.8% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 3.2% | 31.43 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 92.2% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 7.8% | 12.79 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 95.9% | 1.04 | — | — |
| No | 4.1% | 24.14 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid / Draw | 33.6% | 2.98 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid / Sporting Gijon | 88.1% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Draw / Sporting Gijon | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.6
|
0.6
|
| 1 |
0.1
|
0.4
|
1.0
|
1.6
|
2.1
|
2.1
|
| 2 |
0.1
|
0.6
|
1.6
|
2.7
|
3.5
|
3.5
|
| 3 |
0.1
|
0.7
|
1.8
|
3.0
|
3.8
|
3.9
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.6
|
1.5
|
2.5
|
3.2
|
3.3
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.4
|
1.0
|
1.7
|
2.1
|
2.2
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.