Saturday 18 February 2017, 14:00
El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini
Full time
15%
23%
63%
Home win
15.0%
Draw
22.5%
Away win
62.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijon | 15.0% | 6.67 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.5% | 4.44 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.2% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.8% | 14.68 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.8% | 4.38 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.4% | 3.29 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.9% | 6.70 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.1% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
| No | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijon / Draw | 37.5% | 2.67 | — | — |
| Sporting Gijon / Atletico Madrid | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Atletico Madrid | 85.0% | 1.18 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.8
|
11.4
|
11.7
|
7.5
|
3.6
|
1.4
|
| 1 |
4.6
|
10.7
|
9.8
|
6.3
|
3.1
|
1.2
|
| 2 |
2.2
|
4.3
|
4.1
|
2.7
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
0.6
|
1.2
|
1.2
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.