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Sunday 29 January 2017, 19:30 San Mamés Full time
61% 24% 15%
Home win
61.2%
Draw
23.6%
Away win
15.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Athletic Club 61.2% 1.63
Draw 23.6% 4.24
Sporting Gijon 15.2% 6.58

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.1% 1.09
Under 0.5 7.9% 12.65
Over 1.5 74.3% 1.35
Under 1.5 25.7% 3.89
Over 2.5 48.7% 2.05
Under 2.5 51.3% 1.95
Over 3.5 26.9% 3.72
Under 3.5 73.1% 1.37
Over 4.5 12.6% 7.96
Under 4.5 87.4% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.7% 2.14
No 53.3% 1.87

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Athletic Club / Draw 84.8% 1.18
Athletic Club / Sporting Gijon 76.4% 1.31
Draw / Sporting Gijon 38.8% 2.58

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.9
5.1
2.3
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
12.6
11.2
4.2
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
12.1
9.6
3.8
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
7.4
5.9
2.3
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
3.4
2.7
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
1.2
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Athletic Club goals. Columns: Sporting Gijon goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.