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Saturday 7 January 2017, 19:30 Gran Canaria Full time
64% 20% 16%
Home win
63.8%
Draw
20.0%
Away win
16.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Las Palmas 63.8% 1.57
Draw 20.0% 5.00
Sporting Gijon 16.2% 6.18

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.0% 1.04
Under 0.5 4.0% 25.06
Over 1.5 85.4% 1.17
Under 1.5 14.6% 6.83
Over 2.5 65.2% 1.53
Under 2.5 34.8% 2.88
Over 3.5 43.3% 2.31
Under 3.5 56.7% 1.76
Over 4.5 24.8% 4.03
Under 4.5 75.2% 1.33

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 59.8% 1.67
No 40.2% 2.49

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Las Palmas / Draw 83.8% 1.19
Las Palmas / Sporting Gijon 80.0% 1.25
Draw / Sporting Gijon 36.2% 2.76

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.0
3.2
2.0
0.7
0.2
0.0
1
7.4
9.1
4.6
1.7
0.4
0.1
2
9.0
9.8
5.3
1.9
0.5
0.1
3
6.9
7.4
4.0
1.4
0.4
0.1
4
3.9
4.2
2.3
0.8
0.2
0.0
5
1.8
1.9
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
Rows: Las Palmas goals. Columns: Sporting Gijon goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.