Saturday 17 December 2016, 17:15
Vicente Calderón
Full time
60%
22%
18%
Home win
60.4%
Draw
21.8%
Away win
17.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.8% | 4.60 | — | — |
| Las Palmas | 17.8% | 5.60 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.1% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.9% | 20.21 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.5% | 5.72 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 39.5% | 2.53 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 38.2% | 2.62 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.7% | 4.83 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| No | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid / Draw | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid / Las Palmas | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Las Palmas | 39.6% | 2.52 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.9
|
4.0
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.5
|
10.1
|
5.0
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.4
|
9.9
|
5.2
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.5
|
6.9
|
3.6
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
3.4
|
3.6
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.4
|
1.5
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2025
Las Palmas
1-0
Atletico Madrid
Nov 2024
Atletico Madrid
2-0
Las Palmas
Feb 2024
Atletico Madrid
5-0
Las Palmas
Nov 2023
Las Palmas
2-1
Atletico Madrid
Jan 2018
Atletico Madrid
3-0
Las Palmas
Aug 2017
Las Palmas
1-5
Atletico Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.