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Monday 28 November 2016, 21:45 Gran Canaria Full time
38% 27% 34%
Home win
38.4%
Draw
27.4%
Away win
34.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Las Palmas 38.4% 2.61
Draw 27.4% 3.65
Athletic Club 34.2% 2.92

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.4% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.6% 13.09
Over 1.5 75.4% 1.33
Under 1.5 24.6% 4.06
Over 2.5 50.0% 2.00
Under 2.5 50.0% 2.00
Over 3.5 28.0% 3.57
Under 3.5 72.0% 1.39
Over 4.5 13.3% 7.51
Under 4.5 86.7% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 55.1% 1.82
No 45.0% 2.22

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Las Palmas / Draw 65.8% 1.52
Las Palmas / Athletic Club 72.6% 1.38
Draw / Athletic Club 61.6% 1.62

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.6
8.2
5.8
2.5
0.8
0.2
1
8.8
13.1
8.0
3.4
1.1
0.3
2
6.6
8.5
5.5
2.4
0.8
0.2
3
3.0
3.9
2.5
1.1
0.4
0.1
4
1.0
1.4
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Las Palmas goals. Columns: Athletic Club goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.