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Saturday 5 November 2016, 21:45 Gran Canaria Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
45% 23% 32%
Home win
45.2%
Draw
23.2%
Away win
31.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Las Palmas 45.2% 2.21
Draw 23.2% 4.31
Eibar 31.6% 3.16

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.3% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.7% 27.14
Over 1.5 86.6% 1.15
Under 1.5 13.4% 7.46
Over 2.5 67.3% 1.49
Under 2.5 32.7% 3.06
Over 3.5 45.6% 2.19
Under 3.5 54.4% 1.84
Over 4.5 26.8% 3.73
Under 4.5 73.2% 1.37

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 67.8% 1.47
No 32.2% 3.11

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Las Palmas / Draw 68.4% 1.46
Las Palmas / Eibar 76.8% 1.30
Draw / Eibar 54.8% 1.82

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.7
4.3
3.8
2.0
0.8
0.2
1
5.4
9.9
7.3
3.8
1.5
0.5
2
5.6
8.8
6.9
3.6
1.4
0.4
3
3.6
5.6
4.4
2.3
0.9
0.3
4
1.7
2.6
2.1
1.1
0.4
0.1
5
0.6
1.0
0.8
0.4
0.2
0.1
Rows: Las Palmas goals. Columns: Eibar goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.