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Saturday 24 September 2016, 14:00 Ipurua Municipal Stadium Full time
32% 28% 40%
Home win
32.0%
Draw
28.2%
Away win
39.8%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eibar 32.0% 3.13
Draw 28.2% 3.55
Real Sociedad 39.8% 2.51

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.3% 1.10
Under 0.5 8.7% 11.51
Over 1.5 72.7% 1.37
Under 1.5 27.3% 3.67
Over 2.5 46.5% 2.15
Under 2.5 53.5% 1.87
Over 3.5 25.0% 4.00
Under 3.5 75.0% 1.33
Over 4.5 11.3% 8.81
Under 4.5 88.7% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.2% 1.92
No 47.8% 2.09

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eibar / Draw 60.2% 1.66
Eibar / Real Sociedad 71.8% 1.39
Draw / Real Sociedad 68.0% 1.47

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.7
9.9
7.2
3.3
1.1
0.3
1
8.6
13.4
8.6
3.9
1.3
0.4
2
5.6
7.5
5.1
2.3
0.8
0.2
3
2.2
3.0
2.0
0.9
0.3
0.1
4
0.6
0.9
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Eibar goals. Columns: Real Sociedad goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.