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Sunday 11 September 2016, 19:15 Nuevo Los Cármenes Full time
1–2
HT 0–1
6% 30% 64%
Home win
6.1%
Draw
30.0%
Away win
63.8%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Granada CF 6.1% 16.34
Draw 30.0% 3.33
Eibar 63.8% 1.57

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 77.3% 1.29
Under 0.5 22.7% 4.40
Over 1.5 44.6% 2.24
Under 1.5 55.4% 1.80
Over 2.5 19.1% 5.24
Under 2.5 80.9% 1.24
Over 3.5 6.5% 15.28
Under 3.5 93.5% 1.07
Over 4.5 1.8% 54.05
Under 4.5 98.2% 1.02

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 15.0% 6.68
No 85.0% 1.18

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Granada CF / Draw 36.2% 2.77
Granada CF / Eibar 70.0% 1.43
Draw / Eibar 93.9% 1.07

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
22.7
28.0
18.1
7.7
2.4
0.6
1
4.7
6.8
4.1
1.7
0.6
0.1
2
0.6
0.7
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
3
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Granada CF goals. Columns: Eibar goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.