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Monday 13 February 2017, 21:45 Ipurua Municipal Stadium Full time
4–0
HT 2–0
68% 20% 12%
Home win
68.3%
Draw
19.5%
Away win
12.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eibar 68.3% 1.46
Draw 19.5% 5.12
Granada CF 12.2% 8.20

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.7% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.3% 18.94
Over 1.5 81.3% 1.23
Under 1.5 18.7% 5.34
Over 2.5 58.7% 1.70
Under 2.5 41.3% 2.42
Over 3.5 36.3% 2.75
Under 3.5 63.7% 1.57
Over 4.5 19.3% 5.19
Under 4.5 80.7% 1.24

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.9% 1.97
No 49.1% 2.04

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eibar / Draw 87.8% 1.14
Eibar / Granada CF 80.5% 1.24
Draw / Granada CF 31.7% 3.15

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.3
3.4
1.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
10.0
9.3
3.7
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
11.6
9.7
4.0
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
8.6
7.2
3.0
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
4.8
4.0
1.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
2.1
1.8
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Eibar goals. Columns: Granada CF goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.