Skip to content
Saturday 4 February 2017, 21:45 Mestalla Full time
0–4
HT 0–2
44% 24% 33%
Home win
43.9%
Draw
23.6%
Away win
32.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Valencia 43.9% 2.28
Draw 23.6% 4.24
Eibar 32.5% 3.08

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.1% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.9% 25.56
Over 1.5 85.9% 1.16
Under 1.5 14.1% 7.09
Over 2.5 66.0% 1.51
Under 2.5 34.0% 2.94
Over 3.5 44.2% 2.26
Under 3.5 55.8% 1.79
Over 4.5 25.6% 3.91
Under 4.5 74.4% 1.34

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 67.0% 1.49
No 33.0% 3.03

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Valencia / Draw 67.5% 1.48
Valencia / Eibar 76.4% 1.31
Draw / Eibar 56.1% 1.78

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.9
4.6
4.1
2.1
0.8
0.3
1
5.6
10.2
7.5
3.9
1.5
0.5
2
5.6
8.8
6.9
3.6
1.4
0.4
3
3.5
5.4
4.2
2.2
0.9
0.3
4
1.6
2.5
1.9
1.0
0.4
0.1
5
0.6
0.9
0.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
Rows: Valencia goals. Columns: Eibar goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.