Saturday 21 January 2017, 21:45
Estadio de la Cerámica
Full time
69%
20%
11%
Home win
69.0%
Draw
19.7%
Away win
11.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.7% | 5.07 | — | — |
| Valencia | 11.3% | 8.85 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.0% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.0% | 16.78 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.7% | 4.83 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 55.7% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 33.3% | 3.00 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.0% | 5.87 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.0% | 1.21 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.5% | 2.10 | — | — |
| No | 52.5% | 1.91 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal / Draw | 88.7% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Villarreal / Valencia | 80.3% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Draw / Valencia | 31.0% | 3.22 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.0
|
3.6
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.2
|
9.4
|
3.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.6
|
9.6
|
3.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.1
|
6.9
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.9
|
3.7
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.1
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Villarreal
2-1
Valencia
Oct 2025
Valencia
0-2
Villarreal
Feb 2025
Villarreal
1-1
Valencia
Aug 2024
Valencia
1-1
Villarreal
Mar 2024
Villarreal
1-0
Valencia
Jan 2024
Valencia
3-1
Villarreal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.