Sunday 15 January 2017, 13:00
Mestalla
Full time
37%
25%
38%
Home win
36.7%
Draw
25.4%
Away win
37.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 36.7% | 2.72 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.4% | 3.94 | — | — |
| Espanyol | 37.8% | 2.64 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.6% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.4% | 18.48 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.6% | 5.39 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 36.3% | 2.75 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.3% | 5.19 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| No | 38.2% | 2.62 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia / Draw | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Valencia / Espanyol | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Espanyol | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.4
|
6.6
|
5.6
|
2.9
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
6.5
|
11.7
|
8.5
|
4.3
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
5.4
|
8.3
|
6.4
|
3.3
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
2.7
|
4.2
|
3.2
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
1.0
|
1.6
|
1.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Valencia
3-2
Espanyol
Sep 2025
Espanyol
2-2
Valencia
Apr 2025
Valencia
1-1
Espanyol
Dec 2024
Espanyol
1-1
Valencia
May 2023
Valencia
2-2
Espanyol
Oct 2022
Espanyol
2-2
Valencia
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.