Sunday 18 December 2016, 21:45
Camp Nou
Full time
62%
22%
16%
Home win
62.1%
Draw
22.3%
Away win
15.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.3% | 4.48 | — | — |
| Espanyol | 15.6% | 6.40 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.7% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.3% | 15.79 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.5% | 4.65 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.5% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 32.1% | 3.11 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.2% | 6.18 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| No | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona / Draw | 84.4% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Barcelona / Espanyol | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Espanyol | 37.9% | 2.64 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.3
|
4.5
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.7
|
10.6
|
4.5
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
11.1
|
9.9
|
4.4
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.3
|
6.5
|
2.9
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.6
|
3.2
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.4
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Barcelona
4-1
Espanyol
Jan 2026
Espanyol
0-2
Barcelona
May 2025
Espanyol
0-2
Barcelona
Nov 2024
Barcelona
3-1
Espanyol
May 2023
Espanyol
2-4
Barcelona
Dec 2022
Barcelona
1-1
Espanyol
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.