Sunday 20 November 2016, 13:00
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Full time
36%
31%
34%
Home win
35.6%
Draw
30.8%
Away win
33.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves | 35.6% | 2.81 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.8% | 3.25 | — | — |
| Espanyol | 33.6% | 2.97 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.1% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.9% | 8.39 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 34.7% | 2.88 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 37.6% | 2.66 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.0% | 5.56 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.2% | 13.86 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
| No | 54.8% | 1.83 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves / Draw | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Alaves / Espanyol | 69.2% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw / Espanyol | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.9
|
11.2
|
6.5
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.6
|
14.2
|
7.2
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
6.9
|
7.5
|
4.0
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.6
|
2.8
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Espanyol
1-2
Alaves
Nov 2025
Alaves
2-1
Espanyol
Feb 2025
Alaves
0-1
Espanyol
Sep 2024
Espanyol
3-2
Alaves
May 2022
Alaves
2-1
Espanyol
Sep 2021
Espanyol
1-0
Alaves
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.