Saturday 22 October 2016, 19:30
Anoeta
Full time
38%
30%
31%
Home win
38.4%
Draw
30.2%
Away win
31.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 38.4% | 2.60 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.2% | 3.31 | — | — |
| Alaves | 31.4% | 3.18 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.8% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.2% | 8.90 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.2% | 3.01 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 39.3% | 2.54 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.2% | 5.20 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.9% | 12.65 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.1% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.4% | 2.15 | — | — |
| No | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad / Draw | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Real Sociedad / Alaves | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Alaves | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.2
|
10.3
|
5.9
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.7
|
14.1
|
7.0
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.5
|
8.0
|
4.2
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.0
|
3.2
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Real Sociedad
3-3
Alaves
Dec 2025
Alaves
1-0
Real Sociedad
Apr 2025
Alaves
1-0
Real Sociedad
Aug 2024
Real Sociedad
1-2
Alaves
Mar 2024
Alaves
0-1
Real Sociedad
Jan 2024
Real Sociedad
1-1
Alaves
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.