Saturday 1 October 2016, 17:15
Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán
Full time
32%
28%
40%
Home win
31.9%
Draw
28.3%
Away win
39.7%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | 31.9% | 3.13 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.3% | 3.53 | — | — |
| Alaves | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.1% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.9% | 11.27 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 27.7% | 3.61 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.5% | 4.08 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.0% | 9.05 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.0% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| No | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla / Draw | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Sevilla / Alaves | 71.7% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Alaves | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.9
|
10.1
|
7.3
|
3.2
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
8.8
|
13.5
|
8.5
|
3.8
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
5.6
|
7.5
|
5.0
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.2
|
2.9
|
2.0
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
0.9
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Sevilla
1-1
Alaves
Sep 2025
Alaves
1-2
Sevilla
Apr 2025
Sevilla
1-1
Alaves
Sep 2024
Alaves
2-1
Sevilla
Jan 2024
Sevilla
2-3
Alaves
Aug 2023
Alaves
4-3
Sevilla
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.