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Tuesday 20 September 2016, 23:00 Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
39% 20% 41%
Home win
38.8%
Draw
20.1%
Away win
41.0%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sevilla 38.8% 2.58
Draw 20.1% 4.96
Real Betis 41.0% 2.44

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 98.5% 1.01
Under 0.5 1.5% 67.70
Over 1.5 94.1% 1.06
Under 1.5 5.9% 17.01
Over 2.5 82.4% 1.21
Under 2.5 17.6% 5.68
Over 3.5 65.4% 1.53
Under 3.5 34.6% 2.89
Over 4.5 46.4% 2.16
Under 4.5 53.6% 1.86

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 80.2% 1.25
No 19.8% 5.04

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sevilla / Draw 59.0% 1.70
Sevilla / Real Betis 79.9% 1.25
Draw / Real Betis 61.2% 1.63

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
1.5
2.2
2.9
2.2
1.3
0.6
1
2.2
6.0
6.5
4.9
2.8
1.3
2
2.8
6.3
7.1
5.4
3.1
1.4
3
2.0
4.6
5.3
4.0
2.3
1.0
4
1.1
2.6
2.9
2.2
1.2
0.6
5
0.5
1.1
1.3
1.0
0.5
0.3
Rows: Sevilla goals. Columns: Real Betis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.