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Friday 16 September 2016, 21:45 Benito Villamarín Full time
68% 13% 19%
Home win
67.7%
Draw
13.4%
Away win
19.0%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Betis 67.7% 1.48
Draw 13.4% 7.49
Granada CF 19.0% 5.27

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 99.7% 1.00
Under 0.5 0.3% 378.79
Over 1.5 98.9% 1.01
Under 1.5 1.1% 87.26
Over 2.5 95.3% 1.05
Under 2.5 4.7% 21.39
Over 3.5 88.0% 1.14
Under 3.5 12.0% 8.34
Over 4.5 76.3% 1.31
Under 4.5 23.7% 4.22

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 89.0% 1.12
No 11.0% 9.10

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Betis / Draw 81.0% 1.23
Real Betis / Granada CF 86.6% 1.15
Draw / Granada CF 32.3% 3.09

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
0.3
0.3
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.1
1
0.6
1.7
1.9
1.5
0.9
0.4
2
1.4
3.2
3.8
3.0
1.8
0.8
3
1.8
4.3
5.1
4.0
2.4
1.1
4
1.9
4.4
5.2
4.0
2.4
1.1
5
1.5
3.5
4.2
3.3
1.9
0.9
Rows: Real Betis goals. Columns: Granada CF goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.