Skip to content
Sunday 28 August 2016, 19:15 Gran Canaria Full time
87% 7% 6%
Home win
86.8%
Draw
7.4%
Away win
5.8%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Las Palmas 86.8% 1.15
Draw 7.4% 13.56
Granada CF 5.8% 17.24

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 99.7% 1.00
Under 0.5 0.3% 361.01
Over 1.5 98.7% 1.01
Under 1.5 1.3% 75.59
Over 2.5 94.8% 1.05
Under 2.5 5.2% 19.24
Over 3.5 86.9% 1.15
Under 3.5 13.1% 7.63
Over 4.5 74.5% 1.34
Under 4.5 25.5% 3.93

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 77.2% 1.30
No 22.8% 4.38

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Las Palmas / Draw 94.2% 1.06
Las Palmas / Granada CF 92.6% 1.08
Draw / Granada CF 13.2% 7.59

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
0.3
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
0.8
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.2
0.1
2
2.2
3.3
2.5
1.2
0.5
0.1
3
3.5
5.2
3.9
2.0
0.7
0.2
4
4.1
6.2
4.7
2.3
0.9
0.3
5
3.9
5.9
4.4
2.2
0.8
0.3
Rows: Las Palmas goals. Columns: Granada CF goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.