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Monday 6 February 2017, 21:45 Nuevo Los Cármenes Full time
24% 25% 52%
Home win
23.6%
Draw
24.8%
Away win
51.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Granada CF 23.6% 4.24
Draw 24.8% 4.03
Las Palmas 51.6% 1.94

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.7% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.3% 15.93
Over 1.5 78.9% 1.27
Under 1.5 21.1% 4.74
Over 2.5 54.9% 1.82
Under 2.5 45.1% 2.22
Over 3.5 32.6% 3.07
Under 3.5 67.4% 1.48
Over 4.5 16.5% 6.06
Under 4.5 83.5% 1.20

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 56.5% 1.77
No 43.5% 2.30

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Granada CF / Draw 48.4% 2.06
Granada CF / Las Palmas 75.2% 1.33
Draw / Las Palmas 76.4% 1.31

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.3
9.2
8.7
5.1
2.2
0.8
1
5.6
11.7
9.7
5.7
2.5
0.9
2
3.5
6.2
5.5
3.2
1.4
0.5
3
1.3
2.3
2.0
1.2
0.5
0.2
4
0.4
0.7
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.1
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Granada CF goals. Columns: Las Palmas goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.