Saturday 14 January 2017, 17:15
Camp Nou
Full time
69%
18%
13%
Home win
69.2%
Draw
17.9%
Away win
12.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 69.2% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.9% | 5.58 | — | — |
| Las Palmas | 12.9% | 7.75 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.5% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.5% | 28.22 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 86.6% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.4% | 7.49 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 32.5% | 3.08 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 27.1% | 3.70 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| No | 41.6% | 2.40 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona / Draw | 87.1% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Barcelona / Las Palmas | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Draw / Las Palmas | 30.8% | 3.24 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.5
|
2.6
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.2
|
8.1
|
3.8
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.5
|
9.5
|
4.7
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.8
|
7.8
|
3.9
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
4.8
|
4.8
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.4
|
2.4
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2025
Las Palmas
0-2
Barcelona
Nov 2024
Barcelona
1-2
Las Palmas
Mar 2024
Barcelona
1-0
Las Palmas
Jan 2024
Las Palmas
1-2
Barcelona
Mar 2018
Las Palmas
1-1
Barcelona
Oct 2017
Barcelona
3-0
Las Palmas
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.