Sunday 4 December 2016, 19:30
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Full time
36%
28%
36%
Home win
36.4%
Draw
27.7%
Away win
35.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves | 36.4% | 2.75 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.7% | 3.61 | — | — |
| Las Palmas | 35.9% | 2.78 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.0% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.0% | 12.57 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.4% | 3.93 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.9% | 2.04 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.0% | 3.70 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.7% | 7.89 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.3% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| No | 45.7% | 2.19 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves / Draw | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Alaves / Las Palmas | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Las Palmas | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.0
|
8.7
|
6.2
|
2.7
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
8.8
|
13.2
|
8.2
|
3.6
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.3
|
8.2
|
5.4
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.8
|
3.6
|
2.4
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
1.2
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2025
Las Palmas
2-2
Alaves
Sep 2024
Alaves
2-0
Las Palmas
May 2024
Las Palmas
1-1
Alaves
Dec 2023
Alaves
0-1
Las Palmas
Apr 2018
Las Palmas
0-4
Alaves
Dec 2017
Alaves
2-0
Las Palmas
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.