Saturday 5 November 2016, 19:30
Estadio El Sadar
Full time
42%
28%
30%
Home win
41.8%
Draw
27.9%
Away win
30.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.9% | 3.59 | — | — |
| Alaves | 30.3% | 3.30 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.5% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.5% | 11.81 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.7% | 3.74 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.6% | 3.91 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.7% | 8.53 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.3% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
| No | 47.5% | 2.11 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna / Draw | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Osasuna / Alaves | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Alaves | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.5
|
8.2
|
5.2
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.1
|
13.3
|
7.3
|
2.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.6
|
8.8
|
5.1
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.6
|
4.1
|
2.4
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
1.4
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Alaves
2-2
Osasuna
Dec 2025
Osasuna
3-0
Alaves
May 2025
Alaves
1-1
Osasuna
Dec 2024
Osasuna
2-2
Alaves
Mar 2024
Osasuna
1-0
Alaves
Oct 2023
Alaves
0-2
Osasuna
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.