Sunday 25 September 2016, 19:30
Estadio de la Cerámica
Full time
64%
24%
12%
Home win
63.7%
Draw
24.0%
Away win
12.3%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.0% | 4.17 | — | — |
| Osasuna | 12.3% | 8.11 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.0% | 10.01 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 31.0% | 3.23 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.4% | 4.66 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.2% | 10.90 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.8% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.0% | 2.56 | — | — |
| No | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal / Draw | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Villarreal / Osasuna | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Osasuna | 36.3% | 2.75 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.0
|
5.3
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.7
|
10.9
|
3.2
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.2
|
8.9
|
2.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.2
|
5.2
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.6
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Osasuna
2-2
Villarreal
Sep 2025
Villarreal
2-1
Osasuna
May 2025
Villarreal
4-2
Osasuna
Nov 2024
Osasuna
2-2
Villarreal
May 2024
Osasuna
1-1
Villarreal
Nov 2023
Villarreal
3-1
Osasuna
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.