Sunday 18 September 2016, 13:00
Estadio El Sadar
Full time
19%
17%
64%
Home win
19.0%
Draw
17.4%
Away win
63.6%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | 19.0% | 5.26 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.4% | 5.74 | — | — |
| Celta Vigo | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98.4% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 1.6% | 63.01 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 93.6% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 6.4% | 15.57 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 18.8% | 5.32 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 36.3% | 2.75 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| No | 25.5% | 3.93 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna / Draw | 36.4% | 2.75 | — | — |
| Osasuna / Celta Vigo | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Draw / Celta Vigo | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
1.6
|
3.2
|
5.0
|
4.7
|
3.3
|
1.9
|
| 1 |
1.6
|
5.8
|
7.8
|
7.3
|
5.2
|
2.9
|
| 2 |
1.5
|
4.3
|
6.1
|
5.7
|
4.0
|
2.3
|
| 3 |
0.8
|
2.2
|
3.1
|
3.0
|
2.1
|
1.2
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.9
|
1.2
|
1.2
|
0.8
|
0.5
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Celta Vigo
1-2
Osasuna
Oct 2025
Osasuna
2-3
Celta Vigo
Feb 2025
Celta Vigo
1-0
Osasuna
Sep 2024
Osasuna
3-2
Celta Vigo
Feb 2024
Osasuna
0-3
Celta Vigo
Aug 2023
Celta Vigo
0-2
Osasuna
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.