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Saturday 27 August 2016, 21:15 Santiago Bernabéu Full time
Real Madrid
2–1
HT 0–0
Celta Vigo
24% 64% 12%
Home win
24.1%
Draw
63.9%
Away win
12.0%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Madrid 24.1% 4.15 — —
Draw 63.9% 1.56 — —
Celta Vigo 12.0% 8.33 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 39.9% 2.50 — —
Under 0.5 60.1% 1.66 — —
Over 1.5 9.6% 10.37 — —
Under 1.5 90.4% 1.11 — —
Over 2.5 1.5% 64.85 — —
Under 2.5 98.5% 1.02 — —
Over 3.5 0.2% 518.13 — —
Under 3.5 99.8% 1.00 — —
Over 4.5 0.0% 5,263.16 — —
Under 4.5 100.0% 1.00 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 4.9% 20.42 — —
No 95.1% 1.05 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Madrid / Draw 88.0% 1.14 — —
Real Madrid / Celta Vigo 36.1% 2.77 — —
Draw / Celta Vigo 75.9% 1.32 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
60.1
10.6
1.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
19.7
3.8
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
2
3.3
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
3
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Real Madrid goals. Columns: Celta Vigo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Real Madrid
W
Celta Vigo
L

Head to head

Mar 2026 Celta Vigo 1-2 Real Madrid Dec 2025 Real Madrid 0-2 Celta Vigo May 2025 Real Madrid 3-2 Celta Vigo Oct 2024 Celta Vigo 1-2 Real Madrid Mar 2024 Real Madrid 4-0 Celta Vigo Aug 2023 Celta Vigo 0-1 Real Madrid

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.