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Saturday 27 August 2016, 19:15 Estadio El Sadar Full time
24% 64% 12%
Home win
24.0%
Draw
63.9%
Away win
12.0%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Osasuna 24.0% 4.16
Draw 63.9% 1.56
Real Sociedad 12.0% 8.32

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 39.9% 2.50
Under 0.5 60.1% 1.66
Over 1.5 9.6% 10.37
Under 1.5 90.4% 1.11
Over 2.5 1.5% 64.89
Under 2.5 98.5% 1.02
Over 3.5 0.2% 520.83
Under 3.5 99.8% 1.00
Over 4.5 0.0% 5,263.16
Under 4.5 100.0% 1.00

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 4.9% 20.42
No 95.1% 1.05

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Osasuna / Draw 88.0% 1.14
Osasuna / Real Sociedad 36.1% 2.77
Draw / Real Sociedad 76.0% 1.32

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
60.1
10.6
1.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
19.7
3.8
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
2
3.3
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
3
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Osasuna goals. Columns: Real Sociedad goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.