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Thursday 22 September 2016, 21:00 Estadio El Sadar Full time
1–2
HT 0–1
31% 22% 48%
Home win
30.6%
Draw
21.7%
Away win
47.8%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Osasuna 30.6% 3.27
Draw 21.7% 4.62
Espanyol 47.8% 2.09

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.4% 1.03
Under 0.5 2.6% 38.17
Over 1.5 90.1% 1.11
Under 1.5 9.9% 10.06
Over 2.5 73.7% 1.36
Under 2.5 26.3% 3.81
Over 3.5 53.5% 1.87
Under 3.5 46.5% 2.15
Over 4.5 34.0% 2.94
Under 4.5 66.0% 1.51

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 72.6% 1.38
No 27.4% 3.65

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Osasuna / Draw 52.2% 1.91
Osasuna / Espanyol 78.3% 1.28
Draw / Espanyol 69.4% 1.44

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.6
4.1
4.9
3.5
1.9
0.8
1
3.2
8.3
8.4
6.0
3.2
1.4
2
3.1
6.6
7.1
5.1
2.7
1.2
3
1.8
3.8
4.0
2.9
1.5
0.7
4
0.7
1.6
1.7
1.2
0.7
0.3
5
0.3
0.5
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.1
Rows: Osasuna goals. Columns: Espanyol goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.