Skip to content
Friday 26 August 2016, 23:00 RCDE Stadium Full time
2–2
HT 1–0
25% 63% 12%
Home win
25.1%
Draw
63.1%
Away win
11.8%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Espanyol 25.1% 3.98
Draw 63.1% 1.59
Malaga 11.8% 8.46

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 40.9% 2.44
Under 0.5 59.1% 1.69
Over 1.5 10.2% 9.83
Under 1.5 89.8% 1.11
Over 2.5 1.7% 59.59
Under 2.5 98.3% 1.02
Over 3.5 0.2% 462.96
Under 3.5 99.8% 1.00
Over 4.5 0.0% 4,347.83
Under 4.5 100.0% 1.00

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 5.1% 19.59
No 94.9% 1.05

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Espanyol / Draw 88.2% 1.13
Espanyol / Malaga 36.9% 2.71
Draw / Malaga 74.9% 1.34

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
59.1
10.4
1.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
20.3
3.9
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
2
3.6
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
3
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Espanyol goals. Columns: Malaga goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.