Sunday 13 May 2018, 17:15
RCDE Stadium
Full time
49%
31%
19%
Home win
49.3%
Draw
31.3%
Away win
19.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Espanyol | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.3% | 3.20 | — | — |
| Malaga | 19.5% | 5.14 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84.7% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 15.3% | 6.52 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 41.9% | 2.38 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 30.3% | 3.30 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 13.0% | 7.72 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.6% | 21.69 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.4% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 35.8% | 2.79 | — | — |
| No | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Espanyol / Draw | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Espanyol / Malaga | 68.7% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Draw / Malaga | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
15.3
|
9.2
|
3.4
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
17.5
|
13.1
|
4.2
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.3
|
7.7
|
2.6
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.7
|
3.2
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.5
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.