Sunday 22 April 2018, 17:15
La Rosaleda
Full time
29%
27%
43%
Home win
29.3%
Draw
27.4%
Away win
43.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga | 29.3% | 3.42 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.4% | 3.65 | — | — |
| Real Sociedad | 43.4% | 2.31 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.0% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.0% | 12.50 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.6% | 3.91 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.9% | 3.72 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.6% | 7.95 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.4% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| No | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga / Draw | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Malaga / Real Sociedad | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Sociedad | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.0
|
9.9
|
7.8
|
3.8
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
7.7
|
13.1
|
9.0
|
4.4
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
4.9
|
7.1
|
5.2
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
1.9
|
2.8
|
2.0
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.8
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Dec 2017
Real Sociedad
0-2
Malaga
May 2017
Real Sociedad
2-2
Malaga
Jan 2017
Malaga
0-2
Real Sociedad
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.