Sunday 1 April 2018, 19:30
Ipurua Municipal Stadium
Full time
47%
24%
29%
Home win
47.1%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
28.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar | 47.1% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.1% | 4.15 | — | — |
| Real Sociedad | 28.8% | 3.48 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.3% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.7% | 21.28 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.5% | 6.05 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 38.0% | 2.63 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 21.9% | 4.56 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| No | 36.7% | 2.73 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar / Draw | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Eibar / Real Sociedad | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Sociedad | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.7
|
5.0
|
3.9
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
6.8
|
10.9
|
7.1
|
3.3
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.7
|
9.3
|
6.4
|
3.0
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
4.1
|
5.6
|
3.9
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
1.8
|
2.6
|
1.8
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
0.9
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2021
Eibar
0-1
Real Sociedad
Dec 2020
Real Sociedad
1-1
Eibar
Mar 2020
Eibar
1-2
Real Sociedad
Nov 2019
Real Sociedad
4-1
Eibar
Apr 2019
Real Sociedad
1-1
Eibar
Aug 2018
Eibar
2-1
Real Sociedad
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.