Wednesday 28 February 2018, 22:30
Ipurua Municipal Stadium
Full time
35%
29%
36%
Home win
35.0%
Draw
29.0%
Away win
36.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar | 35.0% | 2.86 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.0% | 3.45 | — | — |
| Villarreal | 36.0% | 2.78 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.5% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.5% | 10.47 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 70.7% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 29.3% | 3.41 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.8% | 4.38 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.0% | 9.98 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| No | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar / Draw | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Eibar / Villarreal | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Villarreal | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.5
|
10.0
|
6.6
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
9.8
|
13.8
|
8.0
|
3.3
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
6.4
|
7.8
|
4.8
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.6
|
3.1
|
1.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
0.9
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2021
Eibar
1-3
Villarreal
Sep 2020
Villarreal
2-1
Eibar
Jul 2020
Villarreal
4-0
Eibar
Oct 2019
Eibar
2-1
Villarreal
May 2019
Villarreal
1-0
Eibar
Jan 2019
Eibar
0-0
Villarreal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.