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Saturday 17 February 2018, 17:15 Ipurua Municipal Stadium Full time
0–2
HT 0–1
14% 19% 67%
Home win
14.0%
Draw
19.4%
Away win
66.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eibar 14.0% 7.16
Draw 19.4% 5.15
Barcelona 66.6% 1.50

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.7% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.3% 23.19
Over 1.5 84.3% 1.19
Under 1.5 15.7% 6.36
Over 2.5 63.4% 1.58
Under 2.5 36.6% 2.73
Over 3.5 41.3% 2.42
Under 3.5 58.7% 1.70
Over 4.5 23.2% 4.31
Under 4.5 76.8% 1.30

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 56.4% 1.77
No 43.6% 2.29

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eibar / Draw 33.4% 3.00
Eibar / Barcelona 80.6% 1.24
Draw / Barcelona 86.0% 1.16

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.3
8.2
10.0
7.7
4.4
2.0
1
3.2
9.0
9.8
7.5
4.3
2.0
2
1.8
4.1
4.7
3.6
2.1
1.0
3
0.6
1.3
1.5
1.2
0.7
0.3
4
0.1
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Eibar goals. Columns: Barcelona goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.