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Sunday 21 January 2018, 21:45 Benito Villamarín Full time
9% 14% 77%
Home win
8.7%
Draw
13.9%
Away win
77.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Betis 8.7% 11.46
Draw 13.9% 7.20
Barcelona 77.4% 1.29

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.6% 1.02
Under 0.5 2.4% 41.89
Over 1.5 90.3% 1.11
Under 1.5 9.7% 10.36
Over 2.5 74.5% 1.34
Under 2.5 25.5% 3.93
Over 3.5 54.5% 1.84
Under 3.5 45.5% 2.20
Over 4.5 35.0% 2.86
Under 4.5 65.0% 1.54

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.4% 1.71
No 41.6% 2.40

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Betis / Draw 22.6% 4.42
Real Betis / Barcelona 86.1% 1.16
Draw / Barcelona 91.3% 1.10

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.4
5.7
8.9
8.7
6.4
3.8
1
1.6
6.0
8.4
8.2
6.1
3.6
2
0.9
2.7
4.0
3.9
2.9
1.7
3
0.3
0.9
1.3
1.2
0.9
0.5
4
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
5
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Real Betis goals. Columns: Barcelona goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.