Sunday 10 December 2017, 21:45
Estadio de la Cerámica
Full time
22%
24%
53%
Home win
22.3%
Draw
24.5%
Away win
53.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 22.3% | 4.48 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.5% | 4.09 | — | — |
| Barcelona | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.8% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.2% | 16.10 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.0% | 4.77 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 44.8% | 2.23 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 32.8% | 3.05 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.7% | 6.00 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| No | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal / Draw | 46.8% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Villarreal / Barcelona | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Barcelona | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.2
|
9.3
|
9.0
|
5.4
|
2.4
|
0.9
|
| 1 |
5.4
|
11.6
|
9.8
|
5.9
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
| 2 |
3.3
|
6.0
|
5.4
|
3.2
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
1.2
|
2.2
|
2.0
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.6
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Barcelona
4-1
Villarreal
Dec 2025
Villarreal
0-2
Barcelona
May 2025
Barcelona
2-3
Villarreal
Sep 2024
Villarreal
1-5
Barcelona
Jan 2024
Barcelona
3-5
Villarreal
Aug 2023
Villarreal
3-4
Barcelona
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.