Saturday 4 November 2017, 21:45
Camp Nou
Full time
75%
15%
9%
Home win
75.4%
Draw
15.4%
Away win
9.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw | 15.4% | 6.51 | — | — |
| Sevilla | 9.2% | 10.87 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.8% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.2% | 30.77 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.4% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.6% | 7.94 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 31.0% | 3.22 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 28.5% | 3.50 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.5% | 1.83 | — | — |
| No | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona / Draw | 90.8% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Barcelona / Sevilla | 84.6% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Draw / Sevilla | 24.6% | 4.07 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.3
|
2.1
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.3
|
7.1
|
2.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.3
|
9.0
|
3.9
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.2
|
8.0
|
3.5
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
6.2
|
5.4
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.3
|
2.9
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Barcelona
5-2
Sevilla
Oct 2025
Sevilla
4-1
Barcelona
Feb 2025
Sevilla
1-4
Barcelona
Oct 2024
Barcelona
5-1
Sevilla
May 2024
Sevilla
1-2
Barcelona
Sep 2023
Barcelona
1-0
Sevilla
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.