Saturday 30 September 2017, 17:15
Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán
Full time
64%
22%
15%
Home win
63.7%
Draw
21.6%
Away win
14.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.6% | 4.62 | — | — |
| Malaga | 14.6% | 6.83 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.9% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.1% | 16.37 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.9% | 4.78 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 33.0% | 3.03 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.8% | 5.97 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.2% | 1.20 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| No | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla / Draw | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Sevilla / Malaga | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Malaga | 36.3% | 2.76 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.1
|
4.2
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.6
|
10.3
|
4.2
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.4
|
9.9
|
4.3
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.7
|
6.7
|
2.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.9
|
3.4
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.6
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.