Tuesday 19 September 2017, 21:00
Mestalla
Full time
49%
26%
25%
Home win
48.6%
Draw
26.5%
Away win
25.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.5% | 3.78 | — | — |
| Malaga | 25.0% | 4.01 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.7% | 13.02 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.8% | 4.03 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.8% | 3.60 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.2% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.2% | 7.59 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.8% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| No | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia / Draw | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Valencia / Malaga | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Malaga | 51.4% | 1.94 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.7
|
6.8
|
4.0
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.4
|
12.6
|
6.4
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.8
|
9.5
|
5.1
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.7
|
5.0
|
2.7
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.9
|
2.0
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.