Saturday 22 April 2017, 14:00
La Rosaleda
Full time
41%
26%
32%
Home win
41.2%
Draw
26.4%
Away win
32.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga | 41.2% | 2.42 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.4% | 3.79 | — | — |
| Valencia | 32.4% | 3.09 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.4% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.6% | 15.19 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.8% | 4.58 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.6% | 3.17 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.8% | 6.34 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| No | 42.1% | 2.37 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga / Draw | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Malaga / Valencia | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Valencia | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.6
|
7.0
|
5.1
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
8.2
|
12.5
|
7.7
|
3.4
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.7
|
8.9
|
5.9
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
3.4
|
4.5
|
3.0
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.3
|
1.7
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.