Saturday 1 April 2017, 21:45
La Rosaleda
Full time
19%
25%
56%
Home win
18.8%
Draw
25.4%
Away win
55.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga | 18.8% | 5.31 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.4% | 3.94 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.7% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.3% | 12.04 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.6% | 3.76 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 47.5% | 2.11 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.8% | 3.87 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.9% | 8.41 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.1% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
| No | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga / Draw | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Malaga / Atletico Madrid | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Atletico Madrid | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.3
|
12.2
|
10.9
|
6.1
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
| 1 |
6.1
|
12.1
|
9.6
|
5.4
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
| 2 |
3.0
|
5.0
|
4.2
|
2.4
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
0.9
|
1.5
|
1.3
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Aug 2026
Atletico Madrid
2-0
Malaga
Feb 2018
Malaga
0-1
Atletico Madrid
Sep 2017
Atletico Madrid
1-0
Malaga
Oct 2016
Atletico Madrid
4-2
Malaga
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.