Saturday 10 February 2018, 17:15
La Rosaleda
Full time
13%
29%
58%
Home win
13.0%
Draw
28.7%
Away win
58.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga | 13.0% | 7.70 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.7% | 3.48 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84.6% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 15.4% | 6.50 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 57.6% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 30.0% | 3.33 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 12.8% | 7.84 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 87.2% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.5% | 22.13 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.5% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 31.0% | 3.23 | — | — |
| No | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga / Draw | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Malaga / Atletico Madrid | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Atletico Madrid | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
15.4
|
20.0
|
14.4
|
6.7
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
| 1 |
7.0
|
11.3
|
7.4
|
3.5
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
2.0
|
2.7
|
1.9
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Aug 2026
Atletico Madrid
2-0
Malaga
Sep 2017
Atletico Madrid
1-0
Malaga
Apr 2017
Malaga
0-2
Atletico Madrid
Oct 2016
Atletico Madrid
4-2
Malaga
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.