Saturday 20 January 2018, 17:15
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Full time
68%
22%
11%
Home win
67.5%
Draw
21.6%
Away win
10.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.6% | 4.62 | — | — |
| Girona | 10.8% | 9.25 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.7% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.3% | 12.01 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 27.0% | 3.70 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.4% | 3.93 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.6% | 8.59 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.4% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.6% | 2.46 | — | — |
| No | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid / Draw | 89.2% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid / Girona | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Girona | 32.5% | 3.08 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.3
|
4.3
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.4
|
10.0
|
3.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.4
|
9.1
|
2.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.2
|
5.8
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.4
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.7
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Atletico Madrid
1-0
Girona
Dec 2025
Girona
0-3
Atletico Madrid
May 2025
Girona
0-4
Atletico Madrid
Aug 2024
Atletico Madrid
3-0
Girona
Apr 2024
Atletico Madrid
3-1
Girona
Jan 2024
Girona
4-3
Atletico Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.