Saturday 16 December 2017, 21:45
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Full time
69%
23%
8%
Home win
69.3%
Draw
22.7%
Away win
8.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.7% | 4.40 | — | — |
| Alaves | 8.0% | 12.56 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.0% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.0% | 8.35 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 35.8% | 2.79 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 36.8% | 2.72 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 17.4% | 5.75 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.9% | 14.52 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.1% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 29.1% | 3.43 | — | — |
| No | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid / Draw | 92.0% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid / Alaves | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Alaves | 30.7% | 3.26 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.0
|
4.4
|
1.0
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
19.4
|
9.0
|
1.8
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
17.3
|
7.4
|
1.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.1
|
4.3
|
0.9
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.4
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.5
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Atletico Madrid
1-0
Alaves
Aug 2025
Alaves
1-1
Atletico Madrid
May 2025
Alaves
0-0
Atletico Madrid
Nov 2024
Atletico Madrid
2-1
Alaves
Apr 2024
Alaves
2-0
Atletico Madrid
Oct 2023
Atletico Madrid
2-1
Alaves
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.